No, I am not talking about the 1999 dot com bubble. I am talking about the PC upgrade bubble that has existed since the 1980s as a result of Moore's Law. There are a few things that lead me to believe that bubble has burst.
-Not much incentive to upgrade to Vista
-Gamers rapidly moving away from PC games in favor of consoles (PC gamers have helped drive tech advances all these years)
-More and more consumers choosing low cost PCs ($500 or less) that really aren't much better than they were 3 years ago. With gamers going to consoles, far less people see a reason to go high end.
-Software (other than games) hasn't advanced fast enough to keep up with modern hardware, so average users have little incentive to go high end. A mid-range computer from 4 years ago can still do everything people need to do today.
I think probably the biggest of these is the fact the gamers are moving away from the PC at such a high rate. Without the gamers driving the sales of high-end hardware, what will? Even as a PC gamer, I see little need to go out and upgrade my hardware with the quality of games that are being produced on PC today.
-Not much incentive to upgrade to Vista
-Gamers rapidly moving away from PC games in favor of consoles (PC gamers have helped drive tech advances all these years)
-More and more consumers choosing low cost PCs ($500 or less) that really aren't much better than they were 3 years ago. With gamers going to consoles, far less people see a reason to go high end.
-Software (other than games) hasn't advanced fast enough to keep up with modern hardware, so average users have little incentive to go high end. A mid-range computer from 4 years ago can still do everything people need to do today.
I think probably the biggest of these is the fact the gamers are moving away from the PC at such a high rate. Without the gamers driving the sales of high-end hardware, what will? Even as a PC gamer, I see little need to go out and upgrade my hardware with the quality of games that are being produced on PC today.